原油价格:在中央银行决策和供应问题之间的拉锯战中导航
Crude Oil Outlook: Navigating the Tug of War Between Central Bank Decisions and Supply Concerns
原油价格:在中央银行决策和供应问题之间的拉锯战中导航
Crude Oil Outlook: Navigating the Tug of War Between Central Bank Decisions and Supply Concerns
原油价格目前受到压力,主要是由于市场对中央银行决策预期以及对供应问题的担忧。欧洲央行(ECB)和美联储预计将保持其鹰派立场,可能会在未来提高利率。这可能会抑制全球需求,对油价产生进一步压力。在技术面上,布伦特原油正在关注71.50美元的支撑水平,如果看跌动能持续,可能会下跌至67.50美元。与此同时,WTI原油价格正在接近67美元的枢轴点,这在过去一直是一个重要水平。如果价格在这个水平下方收盘,可能会触发一次向62美元的抛售。在供应方面,可以从两个月的期货价格微小的逆差中看出,沙特阿拉伯7月份开始减少产量,所以市场正考虑供应略微过剩的情况。
Crude oil prices are currently under pressure due to the anticipation of central bank decisions and concerns about supply. The European Central Bank (ECB) and the Federal Reserve are expected to maintain their hawkish stance, with potential interest rate hikes on the horizon. This could dampen global demand and put further pressure on oil prices. On the technical front, Brent crude is eyeing $71.50 as the next level of support, with a drop to $67.50 possible if bearish momentum continues. Meanwhile, WTI crude prices are approaching a familiar pivot point at $67, which has acted as a significant level in the past. A convincing close below this level could trigger an extended sell-off towards $62. On the supply side, despite Saudi Arabia’s pledge to reduce output from July, the market is factoring in a slightly oversupplied situation, as indicated by the shallow contango in the two-month spread.