黄金分析:下跌修正结束了吗?
Is Gold's Downward Correction Coming to an End?

黄金分析:下跌修正结束了吗?
Is Gold's Downward Correction Coming to an End?

从技术面来看,我们注意到最近的反弹可能在接近2,005-2,020区间遇到强大阻力位,该区间包括200周期移动平均线和240分钟图表上的三月中旬高点。然而,XAU/USD目前仍在关键支撑区域1,925-1,950之上,这对于保持多头结构至关重要。突破该水平可能令市場重新评估六个月以來的多头结构。

在基本面上,美联储决策者在过去一周中出面否认了市场对2023年降息的预期,对当前市场情绪提出质疑。此外,美国债务上限的紧张局势不断升级,乔·拜登总统和众议员凯文·麦卡锡的谈判进入了关键阶段。美国财政部考虑推迟支付的举措引发了一个问题:是否意味着民主党人认为谈判可能无法在6月1日截止日期之前完成?这也对美元施加了下行压力,为黄金提供了支撑。

In today’s analysis of gold (XAU/USD) for May 24th, we examine whether the downward correction in gold has come to an end. From a technical perspective, we observe that the recent rebound in price might lose momentum as it approaches the formidable barrier around the 2005-2020 range, including the 200-period moving average and the mid-March high. However, XAU/USD is currently holding above the key support area of 1925-1950, which is crucial for maintaining the bullish structure. A break below this level could prompt a reassessment of the six-month-long uptrend. 

On the fundamental side, Federal Reserve policymakers have voiced their opposition to market expectations of rate cuts in 2023, challenging the prevailing sentiment. Additionally, tensions surrounding the US debt ceiling have intensified, as negotiations between President Joe Biden and House Representative Kevin McCarthy reach a critical point. The US Treasury Department’s consideration of delayed payments raises the question of whether Democrats perceive a risk of incomplete negotiations before the June 1 deadline. These factors exert downward pressure on the US dollar and provide support for gold.

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