欧元/美元:欧洲央行内部加息分歧, 欧元看涨
EUR/USD: Assessing Technical Patterns Amid Divergent Views Within ECB on Rate Hikes

欧元/美元:欧洲央行内部加息分歧, 欧元看涨
EUR/USD: Assessing Technical Patterns Amid Divergent Views Within ECB on Rate Hikes

欧元/美元货币对在接近1.0900水平时出现轻微的看跌倾向,试图继续预期的近期看多趋势,受随机指标和EMA50指标的积极支持。此外,倒置的头肩顶形态增加了看多动能,如果该对突破1.0940水平,暗示进一步的正面交易可能性,并将1.1075作为下一个目标。然而,跌破1.0860可能会有施加向下压力。在基本面上,欧洲央行(ECB)内部存在不同的意见。鹰派Isabel Schnabel和Peter Kazimir主张在达到最高利率之前进行额外的加息,Schnabel强调采取积极措施来控制通胀的重要性。相反,以鸽派立场著称的欧洲央行首席经济学家Philip Lane建议在7月可能加息,但对进一步增加持非承诺态度,提倡以数据为驱动的方法。密切关注欧洲央行在利率调整上的不同观点是至关重要的,因为它们可能影响欧元/美元对的走势。

The EUR/USD currency pair exhibited a mild bearish tendency as it neared the 1.0900 mark, but initiated the day with a bullish inclination, aiming to continue the anticipated bullish trend in the near term, bolstered by positive stochastic and EMA50 indicators. Moreover, the inverted head and shoulders pattern is adding to the bullish momentum, suggesting potential for further positive trading if the pair breaches the 1.0940 level, setting sights on 1.1075 as the next target. However, breaking below 1.0860 could end the bullish scenario and exert downward pressure. On the fundamental side, there are contrasting opinions within the European Central Bank (ECB). Hawks Isabel Schnabel and Peter Kazimir advocate for additional rate hikes before peak interest rates are reached, with Schnabel emphasizing the importance of proactive measures to contain inflation. In contrast, ECB Chief Economist Philip Lane, known for his dovish stance, proposes a likely rate hike in July but is non-committal regarding further increases, advocating for a data-driven approach. The varying perspectives within the ECB on interest rate adjustments are crucial to monitor as they may impact the EUR/USD pair’s movements.

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