GBP/USD分析：制造业数据与英国央行的立场影响英镑走势
GBP/USD Analysis: Manufacturing Data and BoE's Stance Impacting Sterling's Movement
GBP/USD分析：制造业数据与英国央行的立场影响英镑走势
GBP/USD Analysis: Manufacturing Data and BoE's Stance Impacting Sterling's Movement
GBP/USD货币对受到了各种经济和政治因素的影响。英国8月的制造业PMI数据显示了下降，这表明该部门出现了下滑。与此同时，英国央行（BoE）继续提高利率以控制通货膨胀，这表明英国经济正面临压力。英国财政大臣杰里米·亨特表示，通货膨胀压力可能会减轻，预计到年底将下降到5%。但是，预计9月可能会出现一个高峰。英国央行的立场仍然是鹰派的，预计在即将到来的9月会议上将提高25个基点的利率。
GBP/USD正在一个下降的三角形中交易，这是一个预示着可能的向下突破的看跌模式。相对强度指数（RSI）低于50支持这一看跌的观点。要观察的关键水平包括1.2550（8月低点）的支撑和1.2650（100天SMA）和1.2730（上周高点）的阻力。如果突破支撑可能会延长看跌趋势，而超过阻力可能会表示看涨反转。
The GBP/USD currency pair has been influenced by various economic and political factors. The UK’s manufacturing PMI data for August showed a decline, indicating a slump in the sector. This data, combined with the Bank of England’s (BoE) continued interest rate hikes to control inflation, suggests that the UK economy is under pressure. The UK Chancellor of the Exchequer, Jeremy Hunt, expressed optimism that inflationary pressures might ease, projecting a decline to 5% by year-end. However, a potential spike in September is anticipated. The BoE’s stance remains hawkish, with expectations of a 25 basis point rate hike in the upcoming September meeting.
The GBP/USD is trading within a descending triangle, a bearish pattern that suggests a potential downward breakout. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) being below 50 supports this bearish outlook. Key levels to watch include a support at 1.2550 (August low) and resistances at 1.2650 (100-day SMA) and 1.2730 (last week’s high). A breach below the support could extend the bearish trend, while surpassing the resistance might indicate a bullish reversal.