GBP/USD:中央银行对通货膨胀和利率預期上升, 英磅看漲 GBP/USD: Evaluating the Uptrend Amid Central Banks’ Stance on Inflation and Interest Rates

GBP/USD:中央银行对通货膨胀和利率預期上升, 英磅看漲 GBP/USD: Evaluating the Uptrend Amid Central Banks’ Stance on Inflation and Interest Rates

GBP/USD货币对保持上升轨迹,自去年9月以来连续创下新高。市场密切关注支撑线,包括200天移动平均线、下降趋势线支撑和Ichimoku,因为如果出现回调,它们可能会产生更高的低点,1.300水平被视为阻力。在基本面上,美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔最近分享了鹰派的展望,表示通货膨胀的战斗远未结束,并暗示利率可能上升。然而,鲍威尔强调数据在指导决策中的重要性,因此美联储提供了一种不太果断且更为谨慎的方法。市场现在将注意力转向英格兰银行即将到来的利率决定,普遍预计将继续收紧周期。同时,美元在隔夜出现小幅下跌(-0.45%),因为国债收益率削减了早期增长,收盘基本不变或略有上升。在即将召开的会议上,25个基点的利率增加几乎得到确认,终端利率预期设定为6%,GBP/USD对似乎处于等待中央银行进一步暗示的横盘格局。

The GBP/USD currency pair maintains an ascending trend, marked by consecutive higher highs and higher lows since September of the previous year. Support lines, including the 200-day Moving Average, a declining trendline support, and Ichimoku, are monitored closely, as they could generate a higher low if a pullback occurs. The 1.300 level is a critical point for any bullish momentum reversal. Fundamentally, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell recently shared a hawkish outlook, stating that the battle against inflation is far from over and suggesting that interest rates are likely to escalate. However, Powell highlighted the importance of data in guiding decisions, thus offering a less decisive and more cautious approach by the Fed. The market’s attention is now shifting to the Bank of England’s imminent interest rate verdict, which is largely anticipated to continue the tightening cycle. In the meanwhile, the US dollar experienced a slight decline (-0.45%) overnight as Treasury yields trimmed early advances, closing mostly unchanged to moderately higher. With a 25 basis points rate increase nearly confirmed in the forthcoming meeting, and terminal rate expectations set at 6%, the GBP/USD pair appears to be in a holding pattern awaiting further cues from central banks.

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