EUR/USD在十字路口:ECB和Fed政策之战
EUR/USD at a Crossroads: The Battle Between ECB and Fed Policies

EUR/USD在十字路口:ECB和Fed政策之战
EUR/USD at a Crossroads: The Battle Between ECB and Fed Policies

EUR/USD对当前面临关键时刻,有重要因素影响其轨迹。EUR/USD正在试图重新突破1.0900的即时阻力,因为美元正在下跌。这是因为美联储预计将在7月份将利率提高25个基点,原因是美国的就业增加超出预期。这激发了对美联储将进一步提高利率的希望。

另一方面,欧洲中央银行(ECB)主席克里斯蒂娜·拉加德也预计将提高利率,因为欧洲的通胀压力仍然顽固。德国月度工业生产已经減少收缩0.2%,这表明制造业可能会恢复。市场现在正在关注即将到来的美国非农就业人数(NFP)数据。如果数据显示美国劳动力市场增加22.5萬的职位,而可能失业率下降到3.6%以下。这可能会进一步加强美元并对EUR/USD对施加压力。

The EUR/USD pair is currently facing a critical juncture, with significant factors influencing its trajectory. The pair is aiming to recapture the immediate resistance of 1.0900 amid a decline in the US dollar. This comes as the Federal Reserve (Fed) is expected to hike interest rates by 25 basis points in July due to better-than-anticipated employment additions in the US. This has sparked hopes of more interest rate hikes from the Fed.

On the other hand, the European Central Bank (ECB) President Christine Lagarde is also expected to raise interest rates as inflationary pressures in the old continent are still stubborn. German monthly industrial production has contracted by 0.2%, which indicates that the manufacturing sector could recover ahead.

The market is now focusing on the upcoming US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data. If the data shows that the US labor market has added 225k jobs, it could lead to a drop in the unemployment rate to 3.6%. This could further strengthen the US dollar and put pressure on the EUR/USD pair.

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