相关主题:"原油分析:突破阻力,受库存惊喜与加拿大山火影响"
Topic: Crude Oil Analysis: Overcoming Resistance Amid Inventory Surprises and Canadian Wildfires

相关主题:"原油分析:突破阻力,受库存惊喜与加拿大山火影响"
Topic: Crude Oil Analysis: Overcoming Resistance Amid Inventory Surprises and Canadian Wildfires

原油在技术层面上继续下行,但最近成功突破了73.93的阻力位。然而,这一水平以及在73.58的高点可能继续提供阻力。下方若心理支撑位70未能保持,可能的支撑將落在69.41、66.82和66.12的突破位和前期低点。

在基本面方面,市场参与者密切关注本周三发布的美国能源信息署(EIA)每周数据。本周数据特别引人关注,上周石油库存意外激增,增加了504万桶,远远超过了预期的减少92万桶。此外,加拿大阿尔伯塔、不列颠哥伦比亚和萨斯喀彻温省正在经历严重的山火,预计该国的石油产量将因此减少近25万桶/日。这被视为原油的看涨信号。

Crude oil has been making progress on the downside, but it recently managed to overcome resistance at 73.93. However, this level and the high reached at 73.58 might continue to pose as resistance levels. On the downside, the psychological support at 70 was not sustained, and potential support levels can be found at the breakpoints and prior lows of 69.41, 66.82, and 66.12.
In terms of fundamentals, market participants are closely awaiting the release of the weekly US Energy Information Agency (EIA) data on Wednesday. This data is of particular interest following last week’s unexpected surge in oil inventory, with a substantial addition of 5.04 million barrels compared to the anticipated drawdown of 920k barrels. Additionally, severe wildfires in the Canadian provinces of Alberta, British Columbia, and Saskatchewan are expected to impact the nation’s oil production output, potentially reducing it by nearly 250k barrels per day. This development is seen as a bullish sign for crude oil.

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